The Problem |
The data in the following table list natural gas consumption ( in quadrillion BTU) in the United States. Estimate the natural gas consumption in 1982. |
Natural Gas Consumption
Year |
1960 |
1970 |
1980 |
1990 |
1997 |
Consumption |
12.4 |
21.8 |
20.4 |
19.3 |
22.6 |
Source: US Department of Energy
a). Find a polynomial function of degree 3 that models the data.
Solution:
A model of degree 3 has been chosen since the data appears to have 2 turning
points.
First clear
all lists in the calculator. Press STAT and then 1:Edit.
Enter the x-values (the years) in .
Now press the RIGHT ARROW KEY so the cursor is in the
column and enter the y-values (the consumption).
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Press STAT, then the RIGHT ARROW KEY to select CALC , and then select 6:CubicReg for cubic regression. Make sure L1 and L2 appear for the Xlist and Ylist. In preparation for Part b) and Part c), scroll down to Store RegEQ: then press VARS, right-arrow to Y-VARS, then pres ENTER twice. A Y1 now appears. Arrow-down to Calculate and press ENTER once more.
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Therefore, the
polynomial function of degree 3 which models the data is:
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